Goodman's investors continue to be the beneficiary of a good strategy employed consistently across the globe with shares hitting a new post GFC high of $15 this week.
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A demand & supply imbalance across industrial markets (see chart below) continues to drive earnings for the group as Goodman's customers continue to demand close proximity to consumers in urban locations, driven by:
– Structural trends of urbanisation
– Rapidly changing purchasing behaviour of consumers
– Rising consumerism and the increasing need for convenience
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Most industries, including e-commerce, traditional retail and 3PL’s are re-evaluating their supply chains which is resulting in demand for logistic assets outstripping supply in these urban locations.
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Goodman continue to believe that location, location, location is the critical success factor in their ability to support their customers supply chains as they evolve over the next 5-10 years, providing resilient cash flows for the longer term and avoiding markets which could potentially be redundant in the future.
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Site selection has become a intense process driven by a need to consider long-term changes in planning, infrastructure, remediation and redevelopment. It requires patient capital and with experienced teams pursuing incremental gains.
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For Australia, Goodman sees a range of business drivers supporting their strategy ;
Business drivers; Consolidation and rationalisation:
- customers seeking efficiencies in their supply chain networks – relocating to M4, M7 infrastructure
- New e-commerce entrants and traditional retailers moving to online Rising consumerism and the increasing demand for convenience
- Demand from data centres and multi-storey fulfilment centres as customers require space in infill locations (Port Melbourne and South Sydney).
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Strategy:
- Targeting major metropolitan cities on the east coast of Australia Focus on long-term sustainability of income
- Development of our greenfield / brownfield land continues to be the best risk adjusted method to access product in the right locations
- Growing number of opportunities to redevelop existing assets to more functional and intensive uses See their latest presentation for Goodman's strategies in other global cities